Polymarket Trading Blog

PolyTrack Pro Free Trial: 3 Days of Unlimited Whale Tracking

PolyTrack Pro is offering a free 3-day trial for verified X users. Get unlimited whale tracking, Dev Picks access, and real-time trade feeds—no credit card required.

Do Kwon Sentencing: Polymarket Odds, Analysis & What to Expect

Do Kwon faces sentencing tomorrow for the $40B Terra-Luna collapse. Polymarket odds: 58% for 9-12 years. Complete breakdown of prosecution vs defense arguments and what the market is telling us.

Whale Analysis

ChinesePro: The Whale with 100% Win Rate and $1.29M Profit

Meet ChinesePro—the Polymarket whale with a perfect 100% win rate across 50 closed trades, generating $1.29M in profit through contrarian Premier League betting.

Bonnie Blue Indonesia Market: A Data-Driven Polymarket Analysis

A comprehensive breakdown of the Polymarket bet on whether Bonnie Blue will leave Indonesia by December 31, 2025. Legal expert analysis, deportation timeline data, and market efficiency assessment.

How to Find Winning Polymarket Traders in 2025

Discover the exact metrics and strategies used to identify consistently profitable traders on Polymarket. Learn what separates the winners from the losers.

List

Best Polymarket Traders to Follow in 2025

A curated list of the most successful Polymarket traders based on P&L, win rate, and volume. See who the smart money is following.

Polymarket vs Kalshi: Complete 2025 Comparison for Traders & Builders

Complete comparison of Polymarket and Kalshi covering fees (120x difference), APIs, regulatory status, builder programs, and arbitrage opportunities for traders and developers.

Advanced

How to Detect Insider Trading on Polymarket

Advanced techniques to identify potential insider trading activity. Learn to spot unusual patterns that may indicate informed trading.

Polymarket Trading Strategies from Top Whales

Deep dive into the strategies used by Polymarket's most successful traders. Learn position sizing, timing, and risk management.

How to Track Smart Money on Polymarket

A complete tutorial on setting up wallet tracking, alerts, and copy trading signals for Polymarket's smartest traders.

Polymarket API Guide: Build Trading Bots & Analytics Tools

Learn how to use Polymarket's public API to build trading bots, analytics tools, and custom dashboards with practical code examples.

Best Polymarket Portfolio Trackers in 2025

Compare portfolio tracking tools for Polymarket. Find the best way to monitor your positions, P&L, and trading performance.

5 min read

How to Set Up Polymarket Alerts & Notifications

Never miss a trading opportunity. Learn how to set up alerts for whale trades, price movements, and market resolutions.

Is Polymarket Legal? Complete Legal Guide 2025

Everything you need to know about Polymarket's legal status in different countries, regulations, and compliance.

Beginner

How to Use Polymarket: Complete Beginner's Guide

New to Polymarket? This complete beginner's guide walks you through everything from signing up to placing your first bet.

Polymarket vs PredictIt: Which Prediction Market is Better?

Head-to-head comparison of Polymarket and PredictIt. Find out which prediction market offers better odds, lower fees, and more markets.

Polymarket Election Odds: How to Read & Trade Political Markets

Master political betting on Polymarket. Learn to read election odds, identify mispriced markets, and trade political events profitably.

Polymarket Crypto Predictions: Trade Bitcoin & ETH Markets

How to trade crypto prediction markets on Polymarket. Analyze Bitcoin price targets, ETH markets, and regulatory predictions.

List

Polymarket Leaderboard: Top Traders & Rankings 2025

Discover who's winning big on Polymarket. Explore trader rankings by P&L, volume, and win rate to find the best to follow.

How to Copy Trade Polymarket Whales: Complete Guide

Step-by-step guide to finding profitable whale wallets and copying their trades in real-time. Learn the exact process used by successful copy traders.

Beginner

What is Polymarket? Complete Guide to Prediction Markets

New to prediction markets? Learn what Polymarket is, how it works, and why it's becoming the go-to platform for betting on real-world events.

Polymarket Fees Explained: Trading Costs & Gas Fees

Complete breakdown of Polymarket fees. Understand trading costs, gas fees, and tips to minimize expenses while trading.

FAQ

5 min read

Are Polymarket Profits Taxable? Quick Tax FAQ

Quick answers to common Polymarket tax questions. Find out if you owe taxes and how your profits are classified.

Advanced

Polymarket vs Kalshi Arbitrage: Cross-Platform Strategies

Advanced cross-platform arbitrage strategies. Exploit price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi for potential profits.

How to Build a Polymarket Trading Bot (Python Guide)

Complete guide to building automated trading bots for Polymarket using Python. From API basics to advanced market-making strategies.

Is Polymarket Safe? Honest Review & Risk Analysis (2025)

An honest, unbiased review of Polymarket safety. We examine security, complaints, regulatory issues, and real user experiences.

How to Deposit & Withdraw on Polymarket (Step-by-Step)

Complete guide to funding your Polymarket account and withdrawing winnings. Best methods, lowest fees, and troubleshooting tips.

Can Americans Use Polymarket? Complete US Guide (2025)

The definitive guide for Americans interested in Polymarket. Legal status, 2025 updates, and what options US residents have.

Polymarket Mobile App: How to Trade on Your Phone

Everything about using Polymarket on mobile. Setup guide, best practices, and how to trade prediction markets from your phone.

Beginner

How to Read Polymarket Odds: Complete Beginner Guide

Master Polymarket odds with this beginner-friendly guide. Learn what prices mean, how to calculate profits, and spot value bets.

Best Polymarket Alternatives: Top Prediction Markets (2025)

Comprehensive comparison of Polymarket alternatives. Find the best prediction market platform for your needs and location.

Polymarket Market Making: Earn $200-800/Day Providing Liquidity

How to earn consistent daily income through Polymarket market making. Strategies, rewards, and real profit examples.

7 Costly Polymarket Mistakes Beginners Make (And How to Avoid Them)

New to Polymarket? Avoid these 7 costly mistakes that wipe out beginner traders. Learn from others' errors before risking your money.

Polymarket USDC Deposit Guide: How to Fund Your Account

Step-by-step guide to funding your Polymarket account with USDC. Covers wallet setup, bridging to Polygon, and avoiding common errors.

Polymarket Tax Guide 2025: How to Report Your Profits

Everything you need to know about Polymarket taxes. How profits are taxed, tracking cost basis, and tools to simplify tax reporting.

Advanced

Polymarket Arbitrage: How to Find Risk-Free Profit Opportunities

Advanced guide to finding arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket. Learn multi-outcome strategies, cross-platform arb, and tools to automate the process.

Best Polymarket Analytics Tools in 2025: Complete Comparison

Comprehensive comparison of Polymarket analytics tools including PolyTrack, Polymarket Analytics, and others. Find the best tool for your trading style.

Education

Polymarket Win Rate Explained: Why 96% Doesn't Mean Profitable

A 96% win rate sounds amazing, but it might mean nothing. Learn why win rate alone is misleading and what metrics actually predict Polymarket success.

Education

Polymarket Resolution Disputes: How UMA Oracle Works

Lost money to a disputed resolution? Learn how Polymarket's UMA oracle works, the dispute process, and how to avoid resolution-related losses.

Case Study

The $85M French Whale: Polymarket's Biggest Winner Analyzed

How did one trader make $85 million on a single Polymarket bet? We analyze the strategy, timing, and what regular traders can learn from this historic trade.

Polymarket Whale Tracker: The Complete Guide to Following Smart Money

Everything you need to know about tracking Polymarket whales. Find profitable wallets, monitor their trades in real-time, and copy trade the smartest money on the platform.

14 min read

Polymarket Whale Alerts: Real-Time Notifications for Smart Money Trades

Get instant notifications when Polymarket whales make trades. Learn how to set up whale alerts, configure notification thresholds, and turn signals into profitable trades.

Polymarket Analytics: The Complete Guide to Data-Driven Trading

Everything you need to know about Polymarket analytics. From essential metrics like win rate and P&L to whale tracking and portfolio analysis, learn how to use data for better trading decisions.

How to Track Polymarket Whales: Step-by-Step Tutorial

A complete step-by-step tutorial on tracking Polymarket whales. From finding whale wallets to setting up alerts and acting on signals, learn everything you need to follow smart money.

Polymarket Liquidity Mining & Market Making Guide 2025

Discover how to earn consistent returns by providing liquidity on Polymarket. Learn market making strategies, spread management, and risk control for passive income.

Polymarket vs QCEX: CFTC-Regulated Prediction Markets Compared

QCEX is the first CFTC-regulated prediction market for US traders. Learn how it compares to Polymarket in fees, markets, liquidity, and regulatory protection.

The AlphaRaccoon Scandal: $1M Insider Trading on Polymarket

A trader won 22/23 bets on Google's Year in Search, making $1.19M. A Meta engineer claims Google leaked data early. Here's what happened.

25% of Polymarket Volume Is Fake: Columbia Study Breakdown

Columbia researchers found a quarter of all Polymarket volume is artificial. Here's what this means for your trading strategy.

The $59M Market Polymarket Can't Resolve

A $59M market on whether Polymarket would launch in the US is stuck in limbo. The crisis exposes fundamental problems with prediction market resolution.

Polymarket Wants to Trade Against Its Users

Polymarket is exploring an internal trading team that would take positions against users. Here's why critics are worried.

Fed Rate Decision December 2025: $296M Market Analysis

The Fed rate decision market has $296M in volume with 93% odds for a cut. Here's the whale analysis and trading strategies.

Polymarket X/Twitter Partnership: What It Means for Traders

X named Polymarket as its official prediction market partner, integrating real-time odds with Grok AI for 500M+ users. Here's what traders need to know.

2028 Presidential Election: $600M+ Already Bet on Polymarket

Three years before Election Day, Polymarket already has $600M+ bet on 2028. JD Vance leads at 30%, Gavin Newsom at 18%. Here's the complete odds breakdown.

Polymarket US Relaunch: Complete Guide for American Traders

Polymarket returned to the US after a 4-year ban with CFTC approval, $2B from NYSE parent ICE, and a #1 App Store ranking. Here's everything US traders need to know.

TIME Person of the Year 2025: AI Leads at 38% on Polymarket

AI as a concept leads TIME Person of the Year betting at 38%, followed by Jensen Huang (27%) and Sam Altman (14%). Here's what $1.7M in bets reveals.

Bitcoin $100K Analysis: How Whales Are Betting on Polymarket

Bitcoin crossed $100K and Polymarket traders are betting on what's next. 54% odds for $150K in 2026, 19% for $80K retest. Here's how whales are positioned.

Best AI Model 2025: Google Leads at 78% on Polymarket

Google's Gemini 2.0 leads "Best AI Model 2025" at 78%. OpenAI trails at 14% despite ChatGPT dominance. Here's why traders favor Google.

MicroStrategy Insider Trading: $140K Bet Before BTC Announcement

Three wallets with no history invested $140K on MicroStrategy BTC market just before the 21,550 BTC announcement. Another insider trading red flag.

Kalshi Raises $1B at $11B Valuation, Partners with CNN

Kalshi raised $1B at $11B valuation with a CNN partnership for live odds on TV. They now have 78% market share with $1.76B weekly volume.

Case Study

Assad Market: 20x Returns in 24 Hours on Polymarket

The Assad market delivered 20x returns in under 24 hours as rebels took Damascus. $7.5M volume showed prediction markets tracking real-time geopolitics.

POLY Token Airdrop Guide: Everything We Know (December 2025)

POLY token officially confirmed by Polymarket CMO. Expected 2026 launch with 5-10% user airdrop. Here's how to maximize your allocation.

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire: $50M Bet at 6% Odds

The largest geopolitical market on Polymarket: $50M+ volume with only 6% odds for 2025 ceasefire. Here's how whales are positioned.

Golden Globes & Oscars 2025: Complete Polymarket Odds Guide

Awards season 2025 odds: "The Brutalist" leads Golden Globes drama, "Anora" leads Oscars. Complete breakdown with trading strategies.

ETH & SOL Price Predictions: $49M+ on Polymarket

Beyond Bitcoin: ETH $4K at 48% odds, SOL $200 at 55%. Solana ETF launched as best 2025 ETF. Here's the altcoin market analysis.

Prediction Market Explosion: 8+ New Platforms in 2025

8+ new prediction platforms launched in 2025: Fanatics Markets (24 states), Predict.Fun (CZ-backed), DraftKings, FanDuel, and more.

NYSE Parent ICE Invests $2 Billion in Polymarket

NYSE parent ICE investing $2B in Polymarket at $8-9B valuation. Includes data distribution deal and tokenization partnership.

10 Best Polymarket Telegram Bots (December 2025)

Best Polymarket Telegram bots for trading: Polysight (all-in-one), PolyxBot (AI signals), Polycule (copy trading). Complete guide with $14B+ monthly volume.

Théo: The French Whale Who Made $85M on Polymarket

Théo made $85M profit betting on Trump—far more than the $48M first reported. Chainalysis identified 11 connected wallets. Full whale profile.

Polymarket Movie Predictions: Minecraft at 95% for Top 2025 Film

Minecraft Movie at 95% odds for top 2025 film with $88M+ trading volume. Avatar 3 has 12 days of 2025 to catch up. Full box office market analysis.

Super Bowl 2026 Predictions: $615M Volume on Polymarket

Super Bowl LIX has $615M+ in volume. Chiefs collapse to 45-1 odds. Eagles lead computer models at 12.6%. Full NFL prediction analysis.

AlphaRaccoon $1M Google Trends Scandal: 22/23 Bets Correct

AlphaRaccoon made $1M+ in 24 hours on Google search markets—hitting 22/23 bets. The d4vd bet returned 20x. Full scandal breakdown.

NFL Playoffs 2025: Chiefs Collapse, Eagles Lead on Polymarket

Chiefs out of AFC West race for first time in 10 years. Eagles lead league at 12.6% Super Bowl odds. Full NFL playoff picture analysis.

How to Use Polymarket: Complete Beginner Guide (December 2025)

Complete Polymarket beginner guide: wallet setup, order types, fees, common mistakes, and strategies. Updated for December 2025 with US access info.

2026 Midterm Elections: Democrats 70% for House, GOP Holds Senate

Early 2026 midterm predictions on Polymarket: Democrats favored at 70% for House control while Republicans hold 62% edge in Senate. Full analysis.

Trump Cabinet Predictions: 86% Odds of Early Departure

Polymarket shows 86% odds of early cabinet departure. Pete Hegseth is the closest call at 52%. RFK Jr. at 67%. Full cabinet market analysis.

Bitcoin $150K-$200K by 2026: Polymarket and Wall Street Predictions

Polymarket prices Bitcoin $150K by Dec 2026 at 33% odds, $200K at 18%. Bernstein and Standard Chartered target $200K by late 2025. Full analysis.

DOGE Government Efficiency: 74% Say 5% Budget Cut Unlikely

Polymarket shows DOGE's $2T spending cut target at just 12% odds. 74% say 5% reduction unlikely. IRS audit at 76%. Full DOGE market analysis.

Epstein Files Release: 75% Odds by December 31 on Polymarket

Senate passed Epstein Files Transparency Act unanimously. December 19 deadline approaching. 75% odds for release by Dec 31 with $3M+ in trading volume.

Canada Election: Pierre Poilievre at 89% Odds After Trudeau Exits

Trudeau resigns, Poilievre surges to 89% odds for PM. Pro-crypto Conservative poised for historic victory. $500K+ trading volume on election market.

Pope Leo XIV: How Polymarket Missed the First American Pope

Robert Prevost elected Pope Leo XIV at just 1-2% Polymarket odds. First American pope. $40M+ total betting volume. Markets completely missed the outcome.

Trump Deportation Markets: 250K-500K Most Likely at 47% Odds

Polymarket prices 250K-500K deportations at 47% odds. ICE running at 1,100 arrests/day—37% of target. 2M campaign promise at only 3% odds.

25 min read

The Complete Guide to Polymarket Whale Tracking in 2025

Everything you need to know about tracking Polymarket whales in one comprehensive guide. From identifying high-performing wallets to setting up alerts and implementing copy trading strategies.

2026 Winter Olympics Gold Medal Predictions: Polymarket Betting Odds & Analysis

Norway leads Polymarket at 63.5% to win the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics. We analyze historical data from the last 4 Olympics to see if the smart money has it right.

Best Polymarket Apps & Tools 2025: Complete Directory of 170+ Tools

The ultimate directory of Polymarket tools. Discover trading bots, analytics platforms, whale trackers, and more to level up your prediction market trading.

Polymarket Builder Codes: How to Get One & Earn Revenue

Everything about Polymarket builder codes—the key to earning revenue from apps built on Polymarket. Learn how top builders generate millions in volume.

Best Polymarket Telegram Bots 2025: Trade & Track from Telegram

Compare the best Telegram bots for Polymarket trading. Trade predictions, get alerts, and track your portfolio without leaving Telegram.

Polymarket WebSocket Tutorial: Real-Time Data Streaming Guide

Master Polymarket WebSocket connections for real-time data streaming. Build trading bots and analytics tools with instant price updates and order book data.

Polymarket Python Tutorial: Complete Developer Guide 2025

Build Polymarket trading bots and analytics tools with Python. Complete guide to py-clob-client with authentication, order placement, and production-ready code.

20 min read

How to Build a Polymarket Arbitrage Bot: $40M Opportunity Guide

Arbitrage traders made $40M+ on Polymarket. Learn the strategies, build detection bots, and understand the risks with this comprehensive guide.

Polycule Review: $560K VC-Backed Polymarket Telegram Bot

Polycule raised $560K from Alliance DAO to build the leading Telegram trading bot for Polymarket. Deep dive into features, tokenomics, and whether it's worth using.

Betmoar Review: $50M+ Volume Trading Terminal for Polymarket

Betmoar commands 70%+ market share among Polymarket builders with $50M+ volume. Our complete review of the "Bloomberg Terminal for prediction markets."

Polymarket GraphQL & Subgraph Guide: Query Market Data

Polymarket maintains 5 specialized GraphQL subgraphs for querying market data, positions, order books, and P&L. Complete guide with Python and JavaScript examples.

How to Build an AI Trading Bot for Polymarket

An AI bot made $2.2M in 2 months on Polymarket with 74% accuracy. Learn to build your own using the official Polymarket/agents framework and LLMs.

14 min read

How to Build a Polymarket Copy Trading Bot

Copy trading lets you mirror profitable Polymarket whales automatically. Tutorial covers the best tools, how to find traders worth following, and building your own bot.

Polymarket Market Making Guide: $200-800/Day Returns

Market makers on Polymarket earned $20M+ in 2024. One trader scaled from $200/day to $800/day on $10K. Complete guide to spreads, rewards, and building an MM bot.

Polymarket Builder Earnings Guide: How Much Can You Make in 2025?

Complete guide to Polymarket builder earnings with real data: Based Prediction $1M ARR, Betmoar $50M volume. Earnings calculator, revenue sources, and strategies to maximize income.