PolymarketPolymarketComparison11 min read2025-12-02

Best Polymarket Alternatives: Top Prediction Markets (2025)

AL - Founder of PolyTrack, Polymarket trader & analyst

AL

Founder of PolyTrack, Polymarket trader & analyst

Best Polymarket Alternatives: Top Prediction Markets (2025) - Comparison Guide for Polymarket Traders | PolyTrack Blog

Looking for alternatives to Polymarket in 2026? The prediction market landscape has transformed dramatically. Polymarket now offers limited US access through its CFTC-approved beta, Kalshi has secured over $1 billion in funding, and new entrants like Robinhood have joined the space. Whether you want regulated trading, different market types, or cross-platform arbitrage opportunities, this comprehensive guide compares every major prediction market platform available today.

Key Takeaways

  • Polymarket US Beta: Limited US access now available through CFTC-approved waitlist (sports only)
  • Kalshi: Best for US users wanting full political + economic markets with regulatory protection
  • PredictIt: Winding down operations after losing CFTC no-action letter in 2023
  • Robinhood: New entrant offering prediction markets through Kalshi partnership
  • Fees vary: Polymarket 0-1.5%, Kalshi 1-7%, decentralized platforms 2-5%
  • Arbitrage exists: 2-8% price differences between platforms create opportunities
  • Best overall: Polymarket for liquidity, Kalshi for US regulation, Metaculus for learning

Why Look for Polymarket Alternatives?

Despite Polymarket's dominance with over $9 billion in 2024 volume, traders have compelling reasons to explore alternatives in 2026:

Regulatory Reasons

  • US restrictions: Polymarket's US beta is waitlist-only with limited markets
  • Full KYC comfort: Some prefer CFTC-regulated platforms with investor protections
  • Tax reporting: Kalshi provides 1099 forms, Polymarket doesn't
  • Legal certainty: Regulated platforms offer clearer legal standing

Trading Reasons

  • Market coverage: Some platforms offer unique markets others don't
  • Arbitrage: Price differences create profit opportunities
  • Diversification: Spread counterparty risk across platforms
  • Fee optimization: Different fee structures suit different strategies

Prediction Market Landscape 2026

The prediction market industry has evolved significantly since Polymarket's 2024 breakout. Here's the current state:

PlatformEst. Monthly VolumeMarket ShareTrend
Polymarket (Global)$800M - $1.2B~65%↑ Growing
Kalshi$200M - $350M~20%↑ Growing Fast
Robinhood (via Kalshi)$50M - $100M~7%↑ New Entrant
Polymarket US Beta$30M - $60M~4%↑ Ramping
PredictIt$5M - $15M~1%↓ Winding Down
Decentralized (Augur, etc.)$10M - $30M~3%→ Stable

Key 2026 Developments

  • Polymarket US beta launch: Limited CFTC-approved access for US users (sports markets only, political coming)
  • Kalshi $1B+ funding: Massive capital raise enabling expansion and liquidity programs
  • Robinhood integration: Millions of retail users gained prediction market access via Kalshi partnership
  • PredictIt decline: Lost CFTC no-action letter, operating in reduced capacity
  • Crypto market taker fees: Polymarket introduced 0.25-1.5% fees on 15-minute crypto markets
  • CNN partnership with Kalshi: Mainstream media displaying prediction market odds

Kalshi: Best for US Users

Kalshi is the only fully CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange in the United States. After securing over $1 billion in funding and partnerships with CNN and Robinhood, it's become the dominant US platform.

K

Kalshi

CFTC-Regulated Exchange

Advantages
  • ✓ Fully legal in US (CFTC-regulated DCM)
  • ✓ USD deposits via bank/card
  • ✓ 1099 tax forms provided
  • ✓ Investor protections (segregated funds)
  • ✓ Robinhood integration
  • ✓ CNN/media partnerships
  • ✓ Growing liquidity ($200M+ monthly)
  • ✓ Political markets allowed post-2024 ruling
  • ✓ No crypto knowledge needed
  • ✓ Mobile app available
Disadvantages
  • ✗ 1-7% fee on profits (varies by market)
  • ✗ Full KYC required (SSN, ID)
  • ✗ US-only (blocks international)
  • ✗ Fewer markets than Polymarket
  • ✗ Some position limits on large bets
  • ✗ Lower liquidity than Polymarket
  • ✗ No 15-minute crypto markets
  • ✗ Slower order execution
Best For:

US traders wanting legal, regulated access with tax reporting and investor protections. Ideal for political market trading and those uncomfortable with crypto.

MetricValue
Founded2018
RegulationCFTC Designated Contract Market (DCM)
Funding Raised$1B+ (2024-2025)
Monthly Volume$200-350M
Markets Available~500+
Fees1-7% on profits
Min Deposit$1
Max PositionVaries ($25K-$100K typical)

See our detailed Polymarket vs Kalshi comparison for a full breakdown of differences.

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Polymarket US Beta

In late 2025, Polymarket launched a limited US beta following CFTC approval. This represents a major shift—US users can now legally access Polymarket, though with significant restrictions.

P

Polymarket US Beta

Limited CFTC-Approved Access

Current Features
  • ✓ Legal US access (CFTC approved)
  • ✓ iOS app available
  • ✓ Sports betting markets
  • ✓ USD deposits (no crypto needed)
  • ✓ Lower fees than global (0%)
  • ✓ Polymarket's UX and liquidity
Current Limitations
  • ✗ Waitlist access only
  • ✗ Sports markets only (no political yet)
  • ✗ No crypto deposits
  • ✗ Full KYC required
  • ✗ Geographic restrictions by state
  • ✗ Lower position limits
Roadmap:

Political markets expected Q2 2026. Economic and crypto markets to follow. Full public access (no waitlist) targeted for late 2026.

⚠️ $59M Resolution Crisis

A $59M market about whether Polymarket would "launch in the US" is currently frozen in resolution dispute. This highlights ongoing uncertainty about what counts as a "launch" vs "beta."

Robinhood Prediction Markets

Robinhood launched prediction market trading in late 2024 through a partnership with Kalshi. This brought prediction markets to millions of retail investors already using the platform for stocks.

R

Robinhood Markets

Via Kalshi Partnership

Advantages
  • ✓ Integrated with existing Robinhood account
  • ✓ Familiar interface for stock traders
  • ✓ Instant deposits from Robinhood balance
  • ✓ CFTC-regulated (via Kalshi)
  • ✓ Large user base = growing liquidity
  • ✓ Mobile-first experience
Disadvantages
  • ✗ Limited market selection
  • ✗ Kalshi fees apply (1-7%)
  • ✗ US only
  • ✗ Not all Kalshi markets available
  • ✗ Fewer advanced features
  • ✗ Lower position limits
Best For:

Existing Robinhood users who want to try prediction markets without creating new accounts. Casual traders wanting simple mobile access.

PredictIt: Status Update

PredictIt's situation changed dramatically after the CFTC withdrew its no-action letter in 2023. The platform continues to operate in limited capacity while legal battles continue.

P

PredictIt

Reduced Operations

⚠️ Important Status Update (2026)

PredictIt lost its CFTC no-action letter in 2023 and has been operating in reduced capacity. New market creation is limited. Consider Kalshi or Polymarket US for new political market trading.

Remaining Features
  • ✓ Existing markets still tradeable
  • ✓ Established since 2014
  • ✓ Active community
  • ✓ USD deposits
  • ✓ No crypto needed
Limitations
  • ✗ Regulatory uncertainty
  • ✗ $850 max position per market
  • ✗ 5% fee + 10% withdrawal fee
  • ✗ Limited new markets
  • ✗ Declining liquidity
  • ✗ Uncertain future

See our detailed Polymarket vs PredictIt comparison for historical context.

Metaculus: Free Forecasting

Metaculus is a forecasting platform without real money trading. It's ideal for learning prediction skills, building a track record, or those who want to avoid financial risk.

M

Metaculus

Reputation-Based Forecasting

Advantages
  • ✓ Completely free
  • ✓ No financial risk
  • ✓ Wide variety of questions
  • ✓ Excellent for learning
  • ✓ No regulatory restrictions
  • ✓ Track record building
  • ✓ Community insights
  • ✓ Long-term forecasting
Disadvantages
  • ✗ No real money
  • ✗ No profit potential
  • ✗ Reputation-based only
  • ✗ Different incentives than real markets
  • ✗ No instant resolution
Best For:

Beginners learning forecasting, researchers, those who want prediction market engagement without financial risk, and building a public track record.

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Decentralized Alternatives

For traders prioritizing censorship resistance and permissionless access, several decentralized prediction market protocols exist:

Augur (Ethereum)

The original decentralized prediction market, built on Ethereum. Augur allows anyone to create markets and uses REP token for dispute resolution.

Pros
  • • Fully decentralized
  • • Censorship-resistant
  • • Create any market
  • • No KYC
  • • Transparent resolution
Cons
  • • Very low liquidity
  • • High gas fees (Ethereum)
  • • Complex UX
  • • Slow resolution
  • • Minimal market selection

Zeitgeist (Polkadot)

A newer decentralized prediction market built on Polkadot's parachain ecosystem. Lower fees than Ethereum-based alternatives.

Pros
  • • Lower fees than Ethereum
  • • Decentralized
  • • Polkadot ecosystem
  • • Futarchy governance features
Cons
  • • Very low liquidity
  • • Smaller ecosystem
  • • Less established
  • • Complex onboarding

Azuro (Multi-Chain)

Decentralized betting protocol focusing on sports. Powers multiple front-ends and offers liquidity pools for passive income.

Pros
  • • Multi-chain support
  • • LP opportunities
  • • Sports focus
  • • Growing ecosystem
Cons
  • • Sports only
  • • Moderate liquidity
  • • Requires crypto
  • • Complex UX

International Platforms

For traders outside the US, additional options exist depending on jurisdiction:

PlatformRegionsFocusNotes
Polymarket (Global)Non-USAll marketsBest liquidity, crypto required
SmarketsUK/EUSports, politicsFCA regulated, GBP/EUR
Betfair ExchangeUK/EU/AUSports, politicsLargest European exchange
BetdaqUK/EUSportsLower fees than Betfair
ManifoldGlobalAllPlay money + optional real

Complete Comparison Table

Here's a comprehensive comparison of all major prediction market platforms in 2026:

PlatformUS AccessRegulationFeesMarketsLiquidity
Polymarket (Global)NoUnregulated0-1.5%5,000+Highest
Polymarket USWaitlistCFTC0%Sports onlyGrowing
KalshiYesCFTC DCM1-7%500+High
RobinhoodYesVia Kalshi1-7%100+Medium
PredictItLimitedNone15%50+Low
MetaculusYesN/AFree1,000+N/A
AugurYes*Decentralized2-5% + gas50+Very Low
SmarketsNoUK FCA2%200+Medium

* Decentralized platforms technically accessible from anywhere but operate in regulatory gray area

Fee Structure Comparison

Understanding fee structures is critical for profitability. Here's how each platform charges:

PlatformTrading FeeWithdrawal FeeOther FeesCost per $100 Profit
Polymarket (Standard)0%USDC gas (~$0.01)None~$0.01
Polymarket (Crypto 15-min)0.25-1.5% takerUSDC gas (~$0.01)Maker rebates$0-3
Kalshi1-7% on profitFree (ACH)None$1-7
PredictIt5% on profit10%None$15
Augur1% protocolETH gas ($5-50)Market creation$6-51
Smarkets2% commissionFreeNone$2

See our detailed Polymarket fee structure guide for more information.

Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity determines how easily you can enter and exit positions at fair prices. Here's how platforms compare:

PlatformAvg. SpreadMax Size (No Slippage)Typical Depth
Polymarket (Top Markets)1-2%$10K-100K$500K+
Polymarket (Small Markets)3-8%$100-1K$5K-20K
Kalshi (Top Markets)2-4%$5K-25K$100K+
Kalshi (Small Markets)5-15%$100-500$2K-10K
PredictIt5-10%$850 (limit)$5K-20K
Augur10-30%$50-200$500-2K

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Cross-Platform Arbitrage

Price differences between platforms create arbitrage opportunities. Here's what to know:

Common Arbitrage Pairs

Market TypePlatformsTypical SpreadFrequency
US PoliticsPolymarket vs Kalshi2-5%Often
Economic DataPolymarket vs Kalshi1-3%Regular
SportsPolymarket vs Sportsbooks1-4%Frequent
UK PoliticsPolymarket vs Smarkets3-8%Occasional

Arbitrage Challenges

  • Capital requirements: Need funds on multiple platforms simultaneously
  • Fee erosion: Fees can eliminate small spreads (especially PredictIt 15%)
  • Execution risk: Prices can move before completing both legs
  • Settlement differences: Different resolution criteria between platforms
  • Withdrawal delays: Moving funds between platforms takes time

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Which Platform Should You Choose?

Your ideal platform depends on your specific situation:

US Trader Wanting Full Legal Access

Best choice: Kalshi — CFTC regulated, tax forms provided, full market access. Higher fees but legal certainty.

US Trader Wanting Best UX

Try: Polymarket US Beta — Join waitlist for sports markets. Superior interface and liquidity once approved.

Casual Trader with Robinhood

Best choice: Robinhood — Use existing account, familiar interface, no new onboarding needed.

Beginner Wanting to Learn

Start with: Metaculus — No money at risk, build track record, learn forecasting fundamentals.

Maximum Liquidity + Features (Non-US)

Best choice: Polymarket Global — Highest liquidity, lowest fees, most markets. Requires crypto.

Censorship Resistance Priority

Consider: Augur or Zeitgeist — Fully decentralized, no KYC, but very low liquidity.

UK/EU Trader

Best choice: Polymarket or Smarkets — Polymarket for crypto markets, Smarkets for GBP deposits and UK regulation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best Polymarket alternative for US users in 2026?

Kalshi is the best Polymarket alternative for US users in 2026. It's CFTC-regulated, offers political and economic markets, provides tax forms, and has secured over $1 billion in funding. For existing Robinhood users, the Robinhood integration provides even easier access through familiar interfaces. Polymarket's US beta is also now available but limited to waitlist access and sports markets only.

Can US users legally use Polymarket in 2026?

Yes, limited US access is now available through Polymarket's CFTC-approved beta program. However, it's currently waitlist-only and restricted to sports markets. Political markets for US users are expected in Q2 2026. The global Polymarket platform still blocks US users—only the official US beta is legal for Americans. Using VPNs to access the global platform remains against terms of service and potentially illegal.

Is PredictIt still operating in 2026?

PredictIt is operating in reduced capacity in 2026. After losing its CFTC no-action letter in 2023, the platform stopped creating new markets and has been winding down operations. Existing markets remain tradeable, but liquidity is low and the platform's future is uncertain. For political market trading, most users have migrated to Kalshi, which offers similar markets with proper CFTC regulation.

Which prediction market has the lowest fees?

Polymarket has the lowest fees overall—0% on standard markets and 0-1.5% on 15-minute crypto markets (with maker rebates available). Polymarket US beta also charges 0%. Kalshi charges 1-7% on profits. PredictIt has the highest fees at 15% total (5% trading + 10% withdrawal). Decentralized platforms like Augur charge 1-2% plus variable gas fees. For active traders, Polymarket's near-zero fees provide significant edge.

How does Robinhood prediction market trading work?

Robinhood offers prediction markets through a partnership with Kalshi. You access them directly in the Robinhood app using your existing account and balance. Trades are executed on Kalshi's CFTC-regulated exchange, so you get the same regulatory protections. Fees are the same as Kalshi (1-7% on profits). The market selection is more limited than Kalshi's full platform, but the integration makes it very convenient for existing Robinhood users.

Are decentralized prediction markets worth using?

Decentralized prediction markets like Augur and Zeitgeist offer censorship resistance and no KYC, but liquidity is very low—typically 10-100x less than Polymarket or Kalshi. Spreads are wide (10-30%), making profitable trading difficult. They're best for: (1) traders who prioritize decentralization ideology, (2) markets that centralized platforms won't list, (3) creating custom markets. For most traders, centralized platforms offer far better trading experience.

Can I arbitrage between Polymarket and Kalshi?

Yes, arbitrage opportunities exist between Polymarket and Kalshi, typically offering 2-5% spreads on political markets. However, challenges include: (1) Kalshi is US-only while Polymarket global blocks US users, (2) different fee structures eat into profits, (3) settlement and resolution criteria may differ, (4) capital must be locked on both platforms. For non-US traders who can access both, or US traders using Polymarket US beta, arbitrage can be profitable on larger positions where fees become proportionally smaller.

Which platform has the best liquidity?

Polymarket has the best liquidity by far, with 1-2% spreads on top markets and ability to trade $10K-100K without significant slippage. Kalshi is second with 2-4% spreads on top markets and $5K-25K capacity. PredictIt has the $850 position limit regardless of liquidity. Decentralized platforms have very poor liquidity—10-30% spreads and often can't support trades over a few hundred dollars without major price impact.

Should I use multiple prediction market platforms?

Using multiple platforms makes sense for several reasons: (1) Access to different markets—some only exist on certain platforms, (2) Arbitrage opportunities between price differences, (3) Diversifying counterparty risk, (4) Regulatory hedging—if one platform faces legal issues. However, splitting capital reduces buying power on each platform. Most serious traders use Polymarket as their primary platform with Kalshi for US-specific access or regulatory comfort. Start with one platform to learn, then expand.

What prediction markets does CNN show?

CNN displays prediction market odds from their partnership with Kalshi. During major events like elections and economic data releases, CNN shows Kalshi's market prices as probability indicators. This mainstream media integration has helped legitimize prediction markets and increased awareness of the category. Other media outlets primarily reference Polymarket odds, especially for international events, though they don't have formal partnerships.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Kalshi (US-legal, regulated), PredictIt (political focus), and Metaculus (forecasting without trading) are the main alternatives.

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