What cryptocurrencies can I trade on Polymarket price markets?

Polymarket offers price prediction markets for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT), Ethereum (ETH/USDT), Solana (SOL/USDT), and other altcoins. BTC markets have the highest volume and liquidity, followed by ETH and SOL. Market availability varies, with BTC and ETH having the most active trading.

How do Polymarket crypto price markets settle?

All crypto price markets settle using Binance spot prices at midnight UTC (00:00:00) on the settlement date. If the cryptocurrency price is within the bracket range at that time, YES tokens pay $1.00. If outside the bracket, NO tokens pay $1.00. Settlement always uses Binance spot prices, not futures or other exchanges.

What is the difference between BTC, ETH, and SOL price markets on Polymarket?

BTC markets have the highest volume, deepest liquidity, and tightest spreads. ETH markets are second most liquid. SOL markets have growing volume but lower liquidity. Typical bracket widths: BTC $2k-$5k, ETH $200-$500, SOL $50-$100. BTC is best for all traders, ETH for second option, SOL for higher volatility opportunities.

What are the risks of trading crypto price markets on Polymarket?

Main risks include settlement risk (crypto prices can move suddenly near midnight UTC), liquidity risk (some brackets have low liquidity with wide spreads), and correlation risk (all crypto markets move together, limiting diversification). Crypto prices are volatile near settlement time, so consider wider brackets or earlier exits if price is near boundary.

What trading strategies work best for crypto price markets?

Effective strategies include correlation-based trading (trade correlated cryptos together), volatility-based strategies (adjust bracket width based on expected volatility), cross-asset arbitrage (find pricing discrepancies between markets), and time-to-settlement optimization (enter early for better prices, exit near settlement if profit is secure).

Which cryptocurrency has the best liquidity on Polymarket price markets?

Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has the best liquidity, highest volume, tightest spreads, and most active trading on Polymarket. Ethereum (ETH/USDT) is second, followed by Solana (SOL/USDT). Always check orderbook depth before placing large orders, especially for altcoin markets with lower liquidity.

Polymarket Crypto Price Markets 2026 | BTC/ETH Price Brackets

Polymarket crypto price prediction markets let you bet on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and other cryptocurrencies reaching specific price targets at predetermined dates. These markets use price bracket structures (e.g., "Will BTC/USDT be between $92,000-$94,000 on December 31, 2025?") with settlement based on Binance spot prices. This comprehensive 2026 guide explains how crypto price markets work, settlement rules, trading strategies, and how to profit from cryptocurrency price predictions on Polymarket.

Crypto price markets are among Polymarket's most liquid and actively traded markets, attracting both retail traders and professional market makers. Understanding how these markets settle, which cryptocurrencies are available, and optimal trading strategies can significantly improve your profitability. This guide builds on our BTC price brackets guide, covering all major crypto pairs and advanced trading strategies. Professional traders use advanced analytics platforms like PolyTrack Pro to track which wallets consistently profit from crypto price markets, identifying winning patterns across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoin brackets.

🔑 Key Facts About Crypto Price Markets

• Settlement: Binance spot prices at midnight UTC (or specific timestamps)
• Market Structure: Price brackets with YES/NO outcomes
• Available Cryptos: BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT, SOL/USDT, and more
• Volume Leader: Bitcoin brackets have highest liquidity
• Popular Dates: December 31, June 30, end-of-quarter dates

How Crypto Price Prediction Markets Work

Polymarket crypto price markets are structured as binary bracket markets where traders bet on whether a cryptocurrency will be within a specific price range at a predetermined settlement date. Each market asks: "Will [CRYPTO]/USDT be between [LOWER] and [UPPER] on [DATE]?"

Market Structure

Each crypto price market consists of:

• Cryptocurrency Pair: BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT, SOL/USDT, etc.
• Price Range: Lower and upper bounds (e.g., $92,000-$94,000)
• Settlement Date: Specific date/time when price is checked
• YES Token: Pays $1 if price is within bracket at settlement
• NO Token: Pays $1 if price is outside bracket at settlement

Example Market

Market Question:

"Will ETH/USDT be between $3,200 and $3,400 on June 30, 2026?"

Outcomes:

• YES: ETH price ≥ $3,200 AND ≤ $3,400 at midnight UTC on June 30, 2026
• NO: ETH price < $3,200 OR > $3,400 at midnight UTC on June 30, 2026

Current Prices (Example):

• YES: $0.42 (42% probability ETH will be in bracket)
• NO: $0.58 (58% probability ETH will be outside bracket)

Available Cryptocurrency Markets

Polymarket offers price prediction markets for multiple cryptocurrencies. Market availability and liquidity vary significantly:

Cryptocurrency	Pair	Volume	Liquidity
Bitcoin	BTC/USDT	Highest	Excellent
Ethereum	ETH/USDT	High	Very Good
Solana	SOL/USDT	Moderate	Good
Other Altcoins	Various	Lower	Variable

Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Markets

Bitcoin markets dominate crypto price prediction volume on Polymarket. BTC/USDT brackets are available for:

• December 31, 2025: Most popular, 45+ monthly searches for brackets
• June 30, 2026: Mid-year targets
• Quarterly Dates: End-of-quarter brackets
• Price Ranges: Typically $2,000-$5,000 brackets around expected levels

BTC markets have the deepest liquidity, tightest spreads, and most active trading. See our complete BTC price brackets guide for detailed settlement rules and strategies.

Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Markets

Ethereum price markets are the second most liquid after Bitcoin:

• Popular Dates: December 31, June 30, end-of-quarter
• Price Ranges: Typically $200-$500 brackets
• Liquidity: Very good, though lower than BTC
• Trading Volume: High, second only to Bitcoin

Solana (SOL/USDT) Markets

Solana markets have growing volume and liquidity:

• Growing Market: Increasing volume as Solana gains adoption
• Price Ranges: Typically $50-$100 brackets
• Liquidity: Good, improving over time
• Volatility: Higher volatility than BTC/ETH, more trading opportunities

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Settlement Rules: Binance Reference Prices

All crypto price markets settle using Binance spot prices. Understanding exact settlement mechanics is crucial for successful trading:

Settlement Process

1. Settlement Time: Price checked at midnight UTC (00:00:00) on settlement date
2. Reference Exchange: Binance [CRYPTO]/USDT spot trading pair
3. Price Source: Official Binance spot price (last traded price at midnight UTC)
4. Price Type: Spot price, NOT futures or perpetuals
5. Resolution: If price within bracket → YES pays $1, NO pays $0. If outside → NO pays $1, YES pays $0

⚠️ Critical Settlement Details

• Always Binance: Settlement uses Binance, not Coinbase, Kraken, or other exchanges
• Spot Price Only: Binance [CRYPTO]/USDT spot, NOT perpetual futures
• Midnight UTC: Settlement happens at exactly 00:00:00 UTC on specified date
• Boundary Inclusive: Price exactly at bracket bounds means YES wins
• No Manipulation Risk: Binance is too large to manipulate, ensuring fair settlement

Trading Strategies for Crypto Price Markets

1. Correlation-Based Trading

Trade correlated cryptocurrencies together:

• BTC/ETH Correlation: BTC and ETH often move together
• Strategy: If BTC trending up, ETH likely to follow
• Example: BTC breaks $100k → buy ETH $3,400-$3,600 brackets
• Risk: Correlations can break down during market stress

2. Volatility-Based Strategies

Adjust bracket selection based on expected volatility:

• High Volatility: Use wider brackets to account for larger price swings
• Low Volatility: Tighter brackets work when price is consolidating
• Volatility Expansion: Buy wider brackets when volatility is compressed, expecting expansion
• Example: BTC consolidating → buy wider $90k-$96k bracket expecting breakout

3. Cross-Asset Arbitrage

Find pricing discrepancies between different crypto markets:

• BTC vs ETH: Compare implied probabilities across markets
• Strategy: If BTC bracket implies 50% chance of $100k, but ETH bracket implies lower probability, find arbitrage
• Example: BTC $98k-$100k YES at $0.60, ETH $3,400-$3,600 YES at $0.45 (discrepancy)

4. Time-to-Settlement Optimization

Adjust strategy based on time remaining until settlement:

• Early Entry: More uncertainty = wider range of possible outcomes
• Near Settlement: Prices reflect actual proximity to bracket
• Strategy: Enter early for better prices, exit near settlement if profit is secure
• Example: Buy bracket 6 months early at $0.30, exit 1 week before settlement if price trending toward bracket

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Risks and Considerations

Settlement Risk

Crypto prices can be extremely volatile near settlement time:

• Flash Crashes/Pumps: Sudden price movements near midnight UTC can change outcomes
• Low Liquidity Hours: Midnight UTC may have lower liquidity, increasing volatility
• Exchange Outages: Binance issues (rare) could delay settlement
• Mitigation: Consider wider brackets or earlier exits if price is near boundary

Liquidity Risk

Some brackets may have low liquidity:

• Altcoin Markets: Lower liquidity than BTC/ETH
• Wide Spreads: Low liquidity brackets may have large bid-ask spreads
• Price Impact: Large orders can move prices significantly
• Best Practice: Use limit orders (maker orders) with 0% fees for better execution

Correlation Risk

Crypto markets are highly correlated, which can amplify risks:

• Market-Wide Moves: Major crypto events affect all markets simultaneously
• Correlation Breakdown: Correlations can break during extreme market stress
• Diversification Limits: Trading multiple cryptos doesn't provide true diversification
• Strategy: Be aware of macro crypto trends affecting all positions

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Comparing Different Cryptocurrency Markets

Cryptocurrency	Typical Bracket Width	Volatility	Liquidity	Best For
Bitcoin (BTC)	$2,000-$5,000	Moderate	Excellent	All traders, highest volume
Ethereum (ETH)	$200-$500	Moderate-High	Very Good	Second most liquid option
Solana (SOL)	$50-$100	High	Good	Higher volatility opportunities
Other Altcoins	Variable	Very High	Variable	Higher risk/reward, lower liquidity

Best Practices

• Start with BTC: Highest liquidity and most stable
• Use Limit Orders: Maker orders have 0% fees vs up to 3% for taker orders
• Diversify Dates: Spread positions across different settlement dates
• Monitor Binance: Track actual Binance spot prices to inform decisions
• Wider Brackets Early: Use wider brackets when entering months before settlement
• Exit Near Settlement: Consider exiting profitable positions before settlement if price is secure
• Watch Correlation: Be aware of macro crypto trends affecting all positions

Conclusion

Polymarket crypto price prediction markets offer unique opportunities to profit from Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and other cryptocurrency price predictions with clear settlement rules based on Binance spot prices. Understanding how these markets work, settlement mechanics, and optimal trading strategies can significantly improve your profitability.

Always remember that crypto prices can be volatile near settlement time, and bracket prices reflect market probabilities. Use limit orders to minimize fees, consider correlation risks across different cryptocurrencies, and track successful crypto traders to learn proven strategies that actually work.

Polymarket Crypto Price Prediction Markets: Complete Guide