Analysis
Deep-dive analysis of markets, whales, and trading patterns.
Polymarket Accuracy: How Reliable Are Prediction Market Forecasts?
How accurate are Polymarket predictions? Analyze calibration data, 2024 election results vs polls, and learn how to use accuracy metrics for better trading decisions.
24 min read2026-01-25Polymarket vs Polls: Which Is More Accurate for Predictions?
Comprehensive comparison of Polymarket prediction markets versus traditional polls. Learn their methodologies, historical accuracy, and when each source is more reliable for forecasting.
17 min read2026-01-252026 Winter Olympics Polymarket Predictions: Milano Cortina Odds
Complete guide to 2026 Winter Olympics markets on Polymarket. Medal predictions, country rankings, and how to bet on Milano Cortina.
16 min read2026-01-21Vovchansk Market Analysis: Why YES is Overvalued (Data-Driven)
Analyzing the "Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by Dec 31?" market. Data suggests YES is overvalued given ISW requirements and urban warfare realities.
6 min read2025-12-11A Minecraft Movie Box Office: Polymarket Odds at 96% for Highest Grossing 2025
A Minecraft Movie holds 96% odds on Polymarket's $99M highest grossing movie market. Full box office analysis and Avatar 3 competition breakdown.
5 min read2025-12-112028 Republican Nominee: JD Vance Leads Polymarket at 54%
JD Vance holds 54% odds on Polymarket's $117M 2028 Republican nominee market. Full analysis of why the VP is favored and who could challenge him.
6 min read2025-12-11Ethereum Price Prediction 2025: Polymarket Odds for $5K, $6K, $7K+
Polymarket's $52M Ethereum price market shows 87-91% odds for $5K in 2025. Full breakdown of price targets, volatility, and trading opportunities.
6 min read2025-12-11Bonnie Blue Indonesia Market: A Data-Driven Polymarket Analysis
A comprehensive breakdown of the Polymarket bet on whether Bonnie Blue will leave Indonesia by December 31, 2025. Legal expert analysis, deportation timeline data, and market efficiency assessment.
8 min read2025-12-0925% of Polymarket Volume Is Fake: Columbia Study Breakdown
Columbia researchers found a quarter of all Polymarket volume is artificial. Here's what this means for your trading strategy.
9 min read2025-12-09Fed Rate Decision December 2025: $296M Market Analysis
The Fed rate decision market has $296M in volume with 93% odds for a cut. Here's the whale analysis and trading strategies.
7 min read2025-12-092028 Presidential Election: $600M+ Already Bet on Polymarket
Three years before Election Day, Polymarket already has $600M+ bet on 2028. JD Vance leads at 30%, Gavin Newsom at 18%. Here's the complete odds breakdown.
11 min read2025-12-09TIME Person of the Year 2025: AI Leads at 38% on Polymarket
AI as a concept leads TIME Person of the Year betting at 38%, followed by Jensen Huang (27%) and Sam Altman (14%). Here's what $1.7M in bets reveals.
8 min read2025-12-09Bitcoin $100K Analysis: How Whales Are Betting on Polymarket
Bitcoin crossed $100K and Polymarket traders are betting on what's next. 54% odds for $150K in 2026, 19% for $80K retest. Here's how whales are positioned.
10 min read2025-12-09Best AI Model 2025: Google Leads at 78% on Polymarket
Google's Gemini 2.0 leads "Best AI Model 2025" at 78%. OpenAI trails at 14% despite ChatGPT dominance. Here's why traders favor Google.
9 min read2025-12-09Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire: $50M Bet at 6% Odds
The largest geopolitical market on Polymarket: $50M+ volume with only 6% odds for 2025 ceasefire. Here's how whales are positioned.
10 min read2025-12-09Golden Globes & Oscars 2025: Complete Polymarket Odds Guide
Awards season 2025 odds: "The Brutalist" leads Golden Globes drama, "Anora" leads Oscars. Complete breakdown with trading strategies.
9 min read2025-12-09ETH & SOL Price Predictions: $49M+ on Polymarket
Beyond Bitcoin: ETH $4K at 48% odds, SOL $200 at 55%. Solana ETF launched as best 2025 ETF. Here's the altcoin market analysis.
10 min read2025-12-09Théo: The French Whale Who Made $85M on Polymarket
Théo made $85M profit betting on Trump—far more than the $48M first reported. Chainalysis identified 11 connected wallets. Full whale profile.
10 min read2025-12-09Polymarket Movie Predictions: Minecraft at 95% for Top 2025 Film
Minecraft Movie at 95% odds for top 2025 film with $88M+ trading volume. Avatar 3 has 12 days of 2025 to catch up. Full box office market analysis.
8 min read2025-12-09Super Bowl 2026 Predictions: $615M Volume on Polymarket
Super Bowl LIX has $615M+ in volume. Chiefs collapse to 45-1 odds. Eagles lead computer models at 12.6%. Full NFL prediction analysis.
10 min read2025-12-09NFL Playoffs 2025: Chiefs Collapse, Eagles Lead on Polymarket
Chiefs out of AFC West race for first time in 10 years. Eagles lead league at 12.6% Super Bowl odds. Full NFL playoff picture analysis.
9 min read2025-12-092026 Midterm Elections: Democrats 70% for House, GOP Holds Senate
Early 2026 midterm predictions on Polymarket: Democrats favored at 70% for House control while Republicans hold 62% edge in Senate. Full analysis.
10 min read2025-12-09Trump Cabinet Predictions: 86% Odds of Early Departure
Polymarket shows 86% odds of early cabinet departure. Pete Hegseth is the closest call at 52%. RFK Jr. at 67%. Full cabinet market analysis.
11 min read2025-12-09Bitcoin $150K-$200K by 2026: Polymarket and Wall Street Predictions
Polymarket prices Bitcoin $150K by Dec 2026 at 33% odds, $200K at 18%. Bernstein and Standard Chartered target $200K by late 2025. Full analysis.
10 min read2025-12-09DOGE Government Efficiency: 74% Say 5% Budget Cut Unlikely
Polymarket shows DOGE's $2T spending cut target at just 12% odds. 74% say 5% reduction unlikely. IRS audit at 76%. Full DOGE market analysis.
10 min read2025-12-09Canada Election: Pierre Poilievre at 89% Odds After Trudeau Exits
Trudeau resigns, Poilievre surges to 89% odds for PM. Pro-crypto Conservative poised for historic victory. $500K+ trading volume on election market.
10 min read2025-12-09Pope Leo XIV: How Polymarket Missed the First American Pope
Robert Prevost elected Pope Leo XIV at just 1-2% Polymarket odds. First American pope. $40M+ total betting volume. Markets completely missed the outcome.
9 min read2025-12-09Trump Deportation Markets: 250K-500K Most Likely at 47% Odds
Polymarket prices 250K-500K deportations at 47% odds. ICE running at 1,100 arrests/day—37% of target. 2M campaign promise at only 3% odds.
10 min read2025-12-092026 Winter Olympics Gold Medal Predictions: Polymarket Betting Odds & Analysis
Norway leads Polymarket at 63.5% to win the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics. We analyze historical data from the last 4 Olympics to see if the smart money has it right.
8 min read2025-12-09Put These Strategies Into Action
Track whale trades in real-time, get alerts when smart money moves, and copy winning strategies.