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Analysis

Deep-dive analysis of markets, whales, and trading patterns.

Bonnie Blue Indonesia Market: A Data-Driven Polymarket Analysis - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Bonnie Blue Indonesia Market: A Data-Driven Polymarket Analysis

A comprehensive breakdown of the Polymarket bet on whether Bonnie Blue will leave Indonesia by December 31, 2025. Legal expert analysis, deportation timeline data, and market efficiency assessment.

8 min read2025-12-09
25% of Polymarket Volume Is Fake: Columbia Study Breakdown - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

25% of Polymarket Volume Is Fake: Columbia Study Breakdown

Columbia researchers found a quarter of all Polymarket volume is artificial. Here's what this means for your trading strategy.

9 min read2025-12-09
Fed Rate Decision December 2025: $296M Market Analysis - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Fed Rate Decision December 2025: $296M Market Analysis

The Fed rate decision market has $296M in volume with 93% odds for a cut. Here's the whale analysis and trading strategies.

7 min read2025-12-09
2028 Presidential Election: $600M+ Already Bet on Polymarket - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

2028 Presidential Election: $600M+ Already Bet on Polymarket

Three years before Election Day, Polymarket already has $600M+ bet on 2028. JD Vance leads at 30%, Gavin Newsom at 18%. Here's the complete odds breakdown.

11 min read2025-12-09
TIME Person of the Year 2025: AI Leads at 38% on Polymarket - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

TIME Person of the Year 2025: AI Leads at 38% on Polymarket

AI as a concept leads TIME Person of the Year betting at 38%, followed by Jensen Huang (27%) and Sam Altman (14%). Here's what $1.7M in bets reveals.

8 min read2025-12-09
Bitcoin $100K Analysis: How Whales Are Betting on Polymarket - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Bitcoin $100K Analysis: How Whales Are Betting on Polymarket

Bitcoin crossed $100K and Polymarket traders are betting on what's next. 54% odds for $150K in 2026, 19% for $80K retest. Here's how whales are positioned.

10 min read2025-12-09
Best AI Model 2025: Google Leads at 78% on Polymarket - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Best AI Model 2025: Google Leads at 78% on Polymarket

Google's Gemini 2.0 leads "Best AI Model 2025" at 78%. OpenAI trails at 14% despite ChatGPT dominance. Here's why traders favor Google.

9 min read2025-12-09
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire: $50M Bet at 6% Odds - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire: $50M Bet at 6% Odds

The largest geopolitical market on Polymarket: $50M+ volume with only 6% odds for 2025 ceasefire. Here's how whales are positioned.

10 min read2025-12-09
Golden Globes & Oscars 2025: Complete Polymarket Odds Guide - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Golden Globes & Oscars 2025: Complete Polymarket Odds Guide

Awards season 2025 odds: "The Brutalist" leads Golden Globes drama, "Anora" leads Oscars. Complete breakdown with trading strategies.

9 min read2025-12-09
ETH & SOL Price Predictions: $49M+ on Polymarket - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

ETH & SOL Price Predictions: $49M+ on Polymarket

Beyond Bitcoin: ETH $4K at 48% odds, SOL $200 at 55%. Solana ETF launched as best 2025 ETF. Here's the altcoin market analysis.

10 min read2025-12-09
Théo: The French Whale Who Made $85M on Polymarket - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Théo: The French Whale Who Made $85M on Polymarket

Théo made $85M profit betting on Trump—far more than the $48M first reported. Chainalysis identified 11 connected wallets. Full whale profile.

10 min read2025-12-09
Polymarket Movie Predictions: Minecraft at 95% for Top 2025 Film - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Polymarket Movie Predictions: Minecraft at 95% for Top 2025 Film

Minecraft Movie at 95% odds for top 2025 film with $88M+ trading volume. Avatar 3 has 12 days of 2025 to catch up. Full box office market analysis.

8 min read2025-12-09
Super Bowl 2026 Predictions: $615M Volume on Polymarket - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Super Bowl 2026 Predictions: $615M Volume on Polymarket

Super Bowl LIX has $615M+ in volume. Chiefs collapse to 45-1 odds. Eagles lead computer models at 12.6%. Full NFL prediction analysis.

10 min read2025-12-09
NFL Playoffs 2025: Chiefs Collapse, Eagles Lead on Polymarket - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

NFL Playoffs 2025: Chiefs Collapse, Eagles Lead on Polymarket

Chiefs out of AFC West race for first time in 10 years. Eagles lead league at 12.6% Super Bowl odds. Full NFL playoff picture analysis.

9 min read2025-12-09
2026 Midterm Elections: Democrats 70% for House, GOP Holds Senate - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

2026 Midterm Elections: Democrats 70% for House, GOP Holds Senate

Early 2026 midterm predictions on Polymarket: Democrats favored at 70% for House control while Republicans hold 62% edge in Senate. Full analysis.

10 min read2025-12-09
Trump Cabinet Predictions: 86% Odds of Early Departure - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Trump Cabinet Predictions: 86% Odds of Early Departure

Polymarket shows 86% odds of early cabinet departure. Pete Hegseth is the closest call at 52%. RFK Jr. at 67%. Full cabinet market analysis.

11 min read2025-12-09
Bitcoin $150K-$200K by 2026: Polymarket and Wall Street Predictions - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Bitcoin $150K-$200K by 2026: Polymarket and Wall Street Predictions

Polymarket prices Bitcoin $150K by Dec 2026 at 33% odds, $200K at 18%. Bernstein and Standard Chartered target $200K by late 2025. Full analysis.

10 min read2025-12-09
DOGE Government Efficiency: 74% Say 5% Budget Cut Unlikely - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

DOGE Government Efficiency: 74% Say 5% Budget Cut Unlikely

Polymarket shows DOGE's $2T spending cut target at just 12% odds. 74% say 5% reduction unlikely. IRS audit at 76%. Full DOGE market analysis.

10 min read2025-12-09
Canada Election: Pierre Poilievre at 89% Odds After Trudeau Exits - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Canada Election: Pierre Poilievre at 89% Odds After Trudeau Exits

Trudeau resigns, Poilievre surges to 89% odds for PM. Pro-crypto Conservative poised for historic victory. $500K+ trading volume on election market.

10 min read2025-12-09
Pope Leo XIV: How Polymarket Missed the First American Pope - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Pope Leo XIV: How Polymarket Missed the First American Pope

Robert Prevost elected Pope Leo XIV at just 1-2% Polymarket odds. First American pope. $40M+ total betting volume. Markets completely missed the outcome.

9 min read2025-12-09
Trump Deportation Markets: 250K-500K Most Likely at 47% Odds - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

Trump Deportation Markets: 250K-500K Most Likely at 47% Odds

Polymarket prices 250K-500K deportations at 47% odds. ICE running at 1,100 arrests/day—37% of target. 2M campaign promise at only 3% odds.

10 min read2025-12-09
2026 Winter Olympics Gold Medal Predictions: Polymarket Betting Odds & Analysis - Polymarket Analysis | PolyTrack
Analysis

2026 Winter Olympics Gold Medal Predictions: Polymarket Betting Odds & Analysis

Norway leads Polymarket at 63.5% to win the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics. We analyze historical data from the last 4 Olympics to see if the smart money has it right.

8 min read2025-12-09
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