Live FOMC Decision Odds from Polymarket
No Fed/FOMC markets currently active.
Browse all finance marketsPolymarket prediction markets show real-time odds on Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. Traders bet on outcomes like rate cuts, rate hikes, or holds at each FOMC meeting.
The Federal Reserve holds 8 scheduled FOMC meetings per year. Each meeting is an opportunity for the Fed to adjust interest rates based on economic conditions.
Prediction markets aggregate opinions from thousands of traders with real money at stake. They have historically performed well in forecasting Fed decisions, often matching or beating CME FedWatch probabilities.
If "Fed cuts 25bps in March" trades at 60 cents, the market assigns a 60% probability to a rate cut. If you buy at 60 cents and the Fed cuts, you receive $1 per share.