This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30". If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Resolves: December 31, 2025
No tracked whales have positions in this market yet.
Get alerts when whales enter this market →The current odds for Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026? are 18% YES and 82% NO on Polymarket. This market has $10,018 in total trading volume.
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This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2025.
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