Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolves: June 30, 2026
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? odds on Polymarket?
The current odds for Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? are 1% YES and 99% NO on Polymarket. This market has $105,811 in total trading volume.
How do I bet on Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30??
You can trade Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? on Polymarket.com. Create an account, deposit USDC, and place your prediction. Use PolyTrack to track what top traders are betting before you trade.
Are any whales trading Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30??
No tracked whales currently have positions in this market. Use PolyTrack to get alerts when whales enter this market.
When does Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2026.
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