This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 versus the data points available for all other Decembers on record. Note: If December 2025 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Resolves: January 10, 2026
No tracked whales have positions in this market yet.
Get alerts when whales enter this market →The current odds for Will December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record? are 26% YES and 74% NO on Polymarket. This market has $1,059 in total trading volume.
You can trade Will December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record? on Polymarket.com. Create an account, deposit USDC, and place your prediction. Use PolyTrack to track what top traders are betting before you trade.
No tracked whales currently have positions in this market. Use PolyTrack to get alerts when whales enter this market.
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 10, 2026.
Be the first to know when whales enter this market. Set up alerts and track smart money in real-time.