Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between May 28, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/. The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column. If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2026, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.
Resolves: December 31, 2025
Current Odds
Whale Activity
1 tracked whales have $654 in positions. The smart money is bullish on this market.
Whale Positions
| Trader | Position | Size | Entry | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 gopfan2 | Yes | $654 | 14c | $-557 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025? odds on Polymarket?
The current odds for Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025? are 2% YES and 98% NO on Polymarket. This market has $101,582 in total trading volume.
How do I bet on Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025??
You can trade Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025? on Polymarket.com. Create an account, deposit USDC, and place your prediction. Use PolyTrack to track what top traders are betting before you trade.
What do whales think about Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025??
1 tracked whales have $654 in positions. The smart money is bullish on this market.
When does Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2025.
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