Maduro receives asylum by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is granted asylum or receives de facto asylum in any country on or before December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, qualifying circumstances include both official asylum decisions and de facto asylum situations, in which Maduro flees to another country and is permitted to reside there under that country’s protection for an extended period, regardless of whether a formal asylum decision is publicly announced. For example, a situation that constitutes de facto asylum under this definition includes former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who fled to Russia in 2014 and has lived there for years under Russian state protection without any official asylum declaration. This market may resolve as soon as credible reporting establishes that Maduro has fled and is being allowed to reside under a country’s protection for an extended period. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolves: December 31, 2025

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