This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's token is greater than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Resolves: January 1, 2026
2 tracked whales have $19.8K in positions. The smart money is bullish on this market.
| Trader | Position | Size | Entry | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Just-Hedging | No | $9.8K | 19c | +$5.3K |
testfinney | Yes | $10.0K | 84c | $-1543 |
The current odds for Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? are 71% YES and 29% NO on Polymarket. This market has $10,134,333 in total trading volume.
You can trade Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? on Polymarket.com. Create an account, deposit USDC, and place your prediction. Use PolyTrack to track what top traders are betting before you trade.
2 tracked whales have $19,776 in positions. The smart money is bullish on this market.
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2026.
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