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Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's token is greater than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Resolves: January 1, 2026

Current Odds

71%
YES Price
29%
NO Price
$10.1M
Total Volume
$119.0K
Liquidity
YES 71%NO 29%

Whale Activity

2
Whales Tracking
$19.8K
Whale Volume
1%
Whale Sentiment
2
Open Positions
YES ($10.0K)NO ($9.8K)

2 tracked whales have $19.8K in positions. The smart money is bullish on this market.

Whale Positions

TraderPositionSizeEntryP&L
Just-Hedging
No$9.8K19c+$5.3K
testfinney
Yes$10.0K84c$-1543

Recent Whale Trades

Just-Hedging
7h ago
BUYNo$2.3K
testfinney
2d ago
BUYYes$3.7K
Just-Hedging
3d ago
SELLNo$46
Just-Hedging
4d ago
SELLNo$1.8K
Just-Hedging
Dec 9
SELLNo$1.7K
Just-Hedging
Nov 30
BUYNo$2.0K

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? odds on Polymarket?

The current odds for Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? are 71% YES and 29% NO on Polymarket. This market has $10,134,333 in total trading volume.

How do I bet on Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch??

You can trade Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? on Polymarket.com. Create an account, deposit USDC, and place your prediction. Use PolyTrack to track what top traders are betting before you trade.

What do whales think about Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch??

2 tracked whales have $19,776 in positions. The smart money is bullish on this market.

When does Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2026.

Track This Market's Whales

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